To send a copy of any BLOG to a friend, click on the BLOG Title, Then click on “mail this” button below BLOG.
Enter the information requested and any comments you wish and click send.

Send other comments to: Info@NorthPacificResearch.com

 

Useless Arithmetic

Nature Magazine May 3, 2007 page35: A Book Review entitled –When the numbers don’t add up, – discusses a book entitled Useless Arithmetic. The book tries to make the point that it is virtually impossible to use a quantitative modeling to predict the outcome of natural processes on the Earth’s surface.

Although the reviewer is predictably against the reasoning put forth in the book because it has some anti environmental rhetoric, he does seem to at least agree that the author has presented material that shows, that decisions made based on at least 12 of these models “…has gone awry leading to undesired societal and environmental outcomes.” On the other hand the reviewer bristle a little at the comment in the book that, “…leaders in global change studies tend to view as a primary task the maintenance of funding for the modeling juggernaut. Thirty years of personal experience in the research business, and the monitoring and reviewing science over the last 10 years, leads to heartily agreement with BOTH those statements.

I am not recommending that you go out and buy this book, but it is a step in the right direction, away from radical science and the author, the reviewer and I all agree that “…making big mistakes based on the misuse of quantitative models is far more common than it should be.” Science should be about truth not behavior modification.


By D. J. Dodds

http://northpacificresearch.com/blog/

Comments

 
To send a copy of any BLOG to a friend, click on the BLOG Title, Then click on “mail this” button below BLOG.
Enter the information requested and any comments you wish and click send.

Send other comments to Info@NorthPacificResearch.com